12:14 PM | adaptive reuse, AEG, Downtown, Eli Broad, Frank Gehry, Grand Ave, Jane Jacobs, LA Live, mixed-use, Ralph's
The vacated construction site is an increasingly common sight in Downtown these days. Los Angeles Magazine recently published a dismal perspective on upcoming downtown growth - "lower your expectations," they say, "construction cranes will be a rare sight for at least several years." When the last touches on the $2.5 billion mega-project LA Live are complete at the beginning of next year, there will be little to get excited about in the area's development scene. The energy behind Downtown's initial renaissance was fueled mainly by two events: the adaptive reuse ordinance of 1999 which allowed underutilized office buildings to be converted to housing, and California's real estate boom which gave area median condo prices their dizzying peak of $790,000. But those prices have fallen a staggering 37% and 17,818 units are sitting unbuilt in development limbo.
The problem with the explosion in adaptive reuse is that there is a limited stock of historic buildings ready for conversion. Enter ground-up development, a trend made apparent by the countless new gleaming residential high-rises gracing the city's skyline, many of which are having trouble leasing up or even finishing construction. LA Live was supposed to be downtown's saving grace - it was a shiny mixed-use behemoth that entered the construction market at a shaky time, but was backed by reliable and committed investors. But those familiar with Jane Jacobs will remember that city redevelopment cannot be spurred by catastrophic events; in fact, these types of additions often cause rifts and boundaries in urban neighborhoods. While the entertainment complex has been hugely successful in attracting valuable credit tenants to an area they have long spurned, LA Live is remarkably inward-facing. The idea was that visitors arriving for concerts, conventions, games and the like would begin to leak through the streets of Downtown, spending money and "knitting" the region together as a whole. But obstacles like traffic and pedestrian-unfriendly streets have made this aspiration unlikely.
New area residents who have helped Downtown to double its population to 38,000 in ten years, might argue that their neighborhoods are already great, or are experiencing redevelopment independent of AEG, the entertainment developer behind LA Live. Great strides have been made in Downtown's comeback, but the reality is that countless units remain unlet. Retailers who were once flocking to open up downtown to fill the increased residential demand, are holding back, or are pulling out altogether. Rite-Aid's closure of its store at 7th and Los Angeles Streets caused massive speculation and debate among locals and in the blogosphere. Ralph's, whose new store at 9th and Flower Streets is one of the chain's highest-grossing, is often cited as one of Downtown's greatest accomplishments, and a sign that more large retailers are coming soon. Unfortunately, national retailers often wait as long as a decade to ensure a market is worth investing in. 'Who needs 'em?' say many residents, who value the impressive collection of small independent retailers who have opened up shop locally in recent years. But the truth is that the presence of the big guys (like the much-wanted Trader Joe's and Barnes and Noble) can contribute incalculably to the validation of a neighborhood.
Many players wonder what happened to the Grand Avenue project that was supposed to be the high-end, culture-rich master plan that anchored the north end of Downtown. Well it too is sitting in limbo for lack of construction loans. Apparently a Gehry-designed superstructure backed by Eli Broad isn't quite what it takes to get something built around here. After LA Live is complete and we start to get a sense of its successes and impacts, eyes will most likely start to turn back to Grand Ave as the next big catalyst for area growth. But that is assuming LA Live is successful enough to hold developers' attention on Downtown. And let's hope the construction climate will turn around at least partially by that time. Until then, we must rely on smaller projects more invested in the area's long term economy to help connect the dots in a confused and fluctuating downtown. Stay tuned.